Mercury Quarterly Operational Update

Three months ended 30 June 2025

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

FY25 Hydro Generation

3,410 GWh

4th lowest generation from Waikato scheme since 1980

Mean Hydrology Increases

Increases to 4,140 GWh from FY26

Uplift from Digital River and Karāpiro Rehabilitation

Karāpiro Hydro Rehab Project Concluding

Third unit at Karāpiro anticipated to be completed in September 2025

>> COMMENTARY

Market summary

National hydrological inflows of 62nd percentile during the quarter contributed to lower spot electricity prices averaging $216/MWh in Auckland. Forward electricity prices have eased to $179/MWh in Auckland for financial years 2026 to 2027 as of 30th June 2025.

FY25 hydro generation the 4th lowest from the Waikato scheme since 1980

Total generation for FY25 was 7,906GWh (874GWh, 11% lower than PCP). This primarily reflects lower hydro generation of 3,410GWh (686GWh, 17% lower than PCP) driven by 12th percentile Waikato catchment inflows and a lower than average Lake Taupō starting level. Lower wind generation of 1,936GWh (125GWh, 6% lower than PCP) from lower wind speeds and lower geothermal generation of 2,559GWh (63GWh, 2% lower than PCP) from planned outages contributed to the lower FY25 total generation.

For the quarter, a low Lake Taupō level and dry conditions to start the period contributed to lower hydro generation of 864GWh (155GWh, 15% lower than PCP). High hydro inflows at the end of the quarter increased Waikato catchment inflows to 79th percentile for the period, providing a healthy hydro storage leading into FY26.

Increasing mean hydro generation from Digital River and Karāpiro Rehabilitation

Looking ahead, Mercury's average annual hydro generation has increased 62GWh to 4,140GWh per annum. The uplift in the mean hydro expectations is driven by the Karāpiro Rehabilitation Project and the Digital River, Mercury's AI-powered decision platform and digital twin. The Digital River optimises hydro operations by simulating complex hydrology scenarios for value and has already contributed to record high hydro efficiency in FY25.

Karāpiro project concluding with third unit

Mercury is anticipating the completion of the full replacement of the third generating unit at Karāpiro hydro station in Sep-25, concluding the three-year programme of work at the site. The full replacement of the three units at Karāpiro increases hydro capacity by 16.5MW, resulting in 32GWh of additional generation assuming average inflows.

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended 30 June 2025 Three months ended 30 June 2024 Twelve months ended 30 June 2025 Twelve months ended 30 June 2024
CONNECTION NUMBERS ('000s)
Electricity connections (ICPs) 578 576
Gas connections 110 104
Telecommunication connections 178 160
Mobile connections 37 24
Customers with 2 or more products 215 191
VWAP ($/MWh) Volume (GWh) VWAP ($/MWh) Volume (GWh) VWAP ($/MWh) Volume (GWh) VWAP ($/MWh) Volume (GWh)
ELECTRICITY SALES
Physical 166.80 1,632 164.72 1,710 163.53 6,340 153.55 6,669
Mass Market 160.01 1,109 168.05 1,175 168.73 4,281 162.80 4,461
Commercial & Industrial 181.21 523 157.41 535 152.71 2,059 135.28 2,208
Network Losses 93 97 365 369
Physical Purchases 215.83 1,726 275.02 1,807 211.24 6,705 189.55 7,037
Financial 150.65 707 154.63 798 147.42 3,024 137.53 3,247
End User CfDs 128.17 363 133.85 278 129.48 1,281 122.80 1,147
Other Sell CfDs 174.34 344 165.76 520 160.62 1,742 145.58 2,100
Spot Settlement of CfDs 206.20 259.02 196.38 181.03
Spot Customer Purchases 222.12 266.41 191.76 182.81
Gas Sales ($/GJ, TJ) 35.58 561 23.04 612 31.14 2,225 23.95 2,310
Gas Purchases ($/GJ,TJ) 17.90 561 24.66 618 21.27 2,242 16.27 2,325
Telco Sales ($/month/connection) 77.56 81.74 79.69 84.95
Telco Costs ($/month/connection) 55.15 56.27 55.77 58.10
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
Physical 183.41 1,999 237.70 2,105 177.82 7,906 164.64 8,780
Hydro 207.96 864 274.71 1,019 211.93 3,410 190.68 4,096
Geothermal (consolidated) 196.15 656 244.56 650 184.24 2,559 172.38 2,622
Wind Spot 178.37 175 225.24 168 161.06 718 149.57 855
Wind PPA 89.32 305 84.71 268 78.72 1,218 70.20 1,207
Financial 159.53 754 122.81 799 133.66 2,893 112.67 3,073
Buy CfDs 159.53 754 122.81 799 133.66 2,893 112.67 3,073
Spot Settlement of CfDs 213.18 265.72 211.51 181.13
Net Position 15 31 -149 362

Notes:

>> MARKET DATA

ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE

Financial Year Q4 2025

Mercury: 28%, Meridian Energy: 19%, Contact Energy: 17%, Genesis Energy: 14%, Manawa Energy: 2%, Other: 17%

Financial Year Q4 2024

Mercury: 20%, Meridian Energy: 30%, Contact Energy: 19%, Genesis Energy: 11%, Manawa Energy: 3%, Other: 17%

Source: Transpower SCADA

SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Financial Year Q4 2025

Mercury: 82%, Other: 18%

Financial Year Q4 2024

Mercury: 82%, Other: 18%

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

OTA HUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS

Chart Description: Line graph showing Average National Storage (GWh), FY2025 National Storage (GWh), Average Monthly OTA Spot Price ($/MWh), FY2024 National Storage (GWh), and Rolling 12 Month Average OTA Spot Price ($/MWh) from July to June.

Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

TAUPO STORAGE

Chart Description: Line graph showing Taupō Storage (GWh) for Average Since 1999, FY2024, and FY2025 from July to June.

Source: NZX Hydro

OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Chart Description: Bar chart showing Otahuhu ASX Futures Settlement Price ($/MWh) for Financial Years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with data points for As at 30/09/2024, As at 31/12/2024, As at 31/03/2025, and As at 30/06/2025.

Source: ASX

BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Chart Description: Bar chart showing Benmore ASX Futures Settlement Price ($/MWh) for Financial Years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with data points for As at 30/09/2024, As at 31/12/2024, As at 31/03/2025, and As at 30/06/2025.

Source: ASX

NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)

Chart Description: Bar chart showing National Consumption (GWh) and Tiwai Point Aluminium Smelter Consumption (GWh) for Q4 2020 through Q4 2025.

Source: Transpower Information Exchange

AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY (°C)

FINANCIAL YEAR Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2025 12.5 17.1 19.7 15.3
2024 12.2 16.8 19.6 14.3
2023 12.9 17.2 19.2 15.1
2022 12.2 17.8 20.8 15.1
2021 12.3 16.9 19.5 14.8
Historical Average (since 1999) 12 16.2 19.5 14.2

Source: Met Service

MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Chart Description: Dual-axis line graph showing NZ Market Churn (LHS, ICPs) and Annual NZ Market Churn % (RHS) from July 2021 to the present.

Source: Electricity Authority

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